TEXAS REDISTRICTING & ELECTION LAW

Updates about ongoing redistricting litigation in the Lone Star State and coverage of election law more generally. This website's goal is to try to make sure the redistricting process and litigation over voting law is as transparent and accessible as possible to the public. Hopefully, it will be of some use to a broad range of interested parties, both lawyers and non-lawyers. Have questions, comments, suggestions, additional content, or a redistricting joke (or two)? Feel free to contact me: Michael Li, michael.li@mlilaw.com, 202.681.0641.
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The 2010 Census showed that there were 25,145,561 Texans as of April 1 of that year.

By July 2011, the Census Bureau estimates that the state’s population  had increased by 529,120, giving Texas the fastest rate of growth in the nation.

By July 2012, that figure had grown by another 427,400.

And at 3.63%, the state’s two-year rate of population growth outpaced that of every jurisdiction other than the District of Columbia (5.09%) and North Dakota (4.09%).

As was the case over the previous decade, Hispanic population gain continues to be the major driver of Texas’ growth.

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Of the 529,120 people Texas added between 2010 and 2011, 330,661 (or 72.7%) were Hispanic. And while the Census Bureau has not yet released the demographic breakdown of population gain between 2011-2012, it is broadly expected to follow the same pattern.

Citizenship

Hispanics and other non-Anglos also are driving the state’s growth in the critical redistricting measure of citizen voting age population (CVAP).

The Census Bureau’s most recent CVAP estimates calculate that in 2011 there were 15,583,700 Texans who were citizens over the age of 18 - up from 14,896,395 in the prior 2010 estimate.

Of that 687,305 in CVAP growth, 373,410 (or 54.3%) was Hispanic.  Another 18.1% of the CVAP increase was African-American, and another 11% was Asian.

In other words, non-Anglos made up 83.4% of Texas’ citizen voting age population gain between 2010 and 2011.

And given that the state’s population is increasingly diverse at younger levels, that trend is expected to accelerate in coming years.

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Indeed, while Anglos made up 16.6% of the state’s CVAP growth between 2010 and 2011, they are projected to make up only 12.4% of the CVAP gain between 2012 and 2016.  

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In raw numbers, in fact, the state is on pace to add nearly as many citizen voting age Asians as Anglos by the next presidential election.

Welcome to the new Texas.